Economist, World Bank
I am an economist at the Development Impact department (DIME) at the World Bank. I received my PhD in Economics at Heidelberg University, Germany.
My work focuses on state capacity and governance, spanning both policy implementation and research. It is driven by a fundamental question: how can a state serve its citizens better? I explore this in diverse areas including taxation, education, social protection, and health.
I collaborate closely with operational teams across the World Bank to diagnose policy challenges, utilizing both qualitative and quantitative data. Together, we design feasible policy solutions ranging from light-touch interventions to large policy changes, and rigorously evaluate their effectiveness through Randomized Controlled Trials or quasi-natural experiments using self-designed surveys, lab-in-the-field experiments, and administrative data.
To conduct this work, I work with public and private sector entities such as public universities, departments of health, tax revenue authorities and ministries of finance. My research has been funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG), International Growth Centre (IGC), and Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA).
Recent News: I will be presenting “Fickle Groups: A Field Experiment on Time Preferences” at the Advances in Field Experiments (AFE) Conference, University of Chicago (21-22 Sep), the 15th Nordic Conference on Behavioral and Experiment Economics (28-29 Sep) and at the BEEMA, NY Fed (6 October).
Curriculum Vitae (Updated May 2023)
Email: chaudhryzain@gmail.com / zchaudhry@worldbank.org
Twitter: @ZainChaudhry
Tel: +1 202 473 1025
Address:
The World Bank Group,
1850 I Street NW,
Washington DC 20433
United States of America
With Karrar Hussain, FAU Erlangen-Nuremberg and Attique-ur-Rehman, UC Delaware.
Oxford Economic Papers, May 2022
Abstract (click to expand): We provide the first estimate of a door-to-door political campaign by an incumbent politician targeting women on electoral outcomes in a developing country. Women voters are informed of the public service delivery work undertaken by the incumbent in his tenure. The campaign was randomized at the precinct level, allowing us to use official electoral data on vote shares and gender-disaggregated turnout. Our results suggest that in a highly competitive campaign, the vote share of the campaigning incumbent increased by 5%age points. This increase was primarily driven by women who were campaigned independently of their male relatives. In precincts where both men and women were mobilized, the effect is not statistically significant. However, women’s turnout in the election was unaffected.
Revocatus Washington Paul (World Bank), Ephraim Mdee (Tanzania Revenue Authority), Massaga Fimbo (Tanzania Revenue Authority), Jonathan George Karver (World Bank), Christopher Alexander Hoy (World Bank)
Abstract (click to expand): This paper presents the results from a novel field experiment that examined the impact of in- creasing the presence of revenue authority officers on tax compliance and tax morale among small and medium-size enterprises in a low- er-income country. The experiment was embedded in the implementation of a representative, face-to-face survey of SMEs across mainland Tanzania. An independent survey firm was accompanied by Tanzania Revenue Authority officers, who observed the interviews in a randomly selected set of urban and peri-urban wards. This translated into a temporary increase in the presence of tax officers throughout parts of the country. The findings indicate that an increase in tax officer presence did not have a significant overall impact on tax compliance and tax morale among SMEs, as measured using a combination of administrative and survey data. However, there were short-term increases in compliance in the largest city and sustained increases in tax morale in the rest of the country. A follow-up survey suggests that these results were likely driven by an increase in the perceived credibility of enforcement rather than meaningful increases in perceptions of facilitation and trust.
With Karrar Hussain (FAU Erlangen-Nuremberg)
Abstract (click to expand): Although many important economic decisions are taken by groups (e.g. households and committees) considering costs and benefits over time, we have little empirical evidence on their intertemporal behavior. This paper conducts a field experiment and uses reduced-form and structural methods to study how within-group differences drive group-level behavior. We measure time preferences using effort-based tasks in the field, create groups randomly, and collect data on the time preferences of both groups and their constituent individuals. We find that groups are more present-biased than individuals, and that individuals with higher present bias drive decisions within groups. Further, we find that groups exhibit greater present bias when the difference in discount rates within the group is larger. Finally, we document that present bias in group decisions is reduced when bargaining power in the group is less symmetric, making the group act more like an individual.
With Dietmar Fehr (Heidelberg), Karrar Hussain (FAU-Erlangen Nuremberg) and Muhammad Yasir Khan (Pittsburgh)
Funded by the DFG. Data collection begins mid 2025.
With Axel Dreher (Heidelberg) and Tobias Korn (Hanover)
Funded by the DFG. Endline data collection completed.
With Karrar Hussain (FAU-Erlangen Nuremberg) and Obeid-ur-Rehman (Toronto Metropolitan University)
Funded by the IPA and IGC. Draft available in Summer 2025.
I am currently hiring a Project Manager based at the Centre for Economic Research in Pakistan. You should have the ability to work independently and lead a team. The project is on the national cash transfer program in Pakistan, which delivers cash to women with the goal of female empowerment. The project is with Markus Frölich (Mannheim/C4ED), Paula von Haaren (Heidelberg) and Nasir Iqbal (PIDE).
Prof. Frölich is a leading econometrician who runs his own research organization in Germany (C4ED) and Pakistan and has a strong placement record for his interns/research assistants (e.g. Harvard, Stanford and LSE). Prof. Iqbal is a leading expert of the national cash transfer programme of Pakistan, having previously served as the BISP Secretariat’s Director R&D.
Website: This design, made by Xinyue Lin for Gautam Rao, is available at Gautam Rao’s GitHub repository.